What's New? HKTDFS Newsletter August 2011: Forecast Accuracy of Tourist Arrivals This report compares the forecasts of tourist arrivals generated by the Hong Kong Tourism Demand Forecasting System (HKTDFS) with the actual arrivals published by the Hong Kong Tourism Board for the period of 2010Q4 -2011Q2. More Invitation to a Delphi survey to intergrate the statistical and judgemental forecasts related to the demand for Hong Kong tourism The Delphi survery aims to develop a research framework for the intergration of statistical forecasts, and judgemental forecasts based on the Hong Kong tourism demand data. More
UNWTO: "International tourism maintains momentum despite challenges" The latest UNWTO statsitics reveal that international tourist arrivals grew by 4.5% in the first four months of 2011, despite new challenges emerging since the beginning of the year. More IMF: "Mild Slowdown of the Global Expansion, and Increasing Risks" Activity is slowing down temporarily, and downside risks have increased again. The global expansion remains unbalanced. Growth in many advanced economies is still weak, considering the depth of the recession. More Release of Hong Kong Tourism Demand Forecasting Report (Volume 2, Issue 3)
This issue of report provides updated forecasts of tourist arrivals to Hong Dong from 14 key source markets, including mainland China, Taiwan, Japan, Macau, South Korea, Singapore, Philippines, Malaysia, Thailand.. More UNWTO: “International Tourist Arrivals back at 2008 pre-crisis peak level” According to the latest issue (Volume 8, No. 3) of the UNWTO World Tourism Barometer, in the first eight months of this year, the number of international tourist arrivals exceeded the record achieved during the same period of the pre-crisis year 2008...More
HKTDFS: Arrivals Forecasts Updated - High Forecast Accuracy Achieved The forecasts of tourist arrivals to Hong Kong from ten key source markets over the period 2010 - 2015 have been updated. The total tourist arrivals to Hong Kong are projected to reach 54.1 million in 2015 with interval forecasts between 35.1 and 81.0 million.....More UNWTO: “International Tourism: Recovery Confirmed, but Growth Remains Uneven” According to the latest issue (Volume 8, No. 2) of the UNWTO World Tourism Barometer. International tourist arrivals grew by 7% in the first four months of 2010. This growth confirms the recovery trend beginning in the last quarter of 2009 and comes despite the challenging conditions of recent months ...More News Release on Tourism Forecasting SIGThe Tourism Forecasting Special Interest Group (SIG), sponsored by The Hong Kong Tourism Demand Forecasting System (HKTDFS), and hosted by the Forecasting Principles (http://www.forecastingprinciples.com) was successfully launched on November 26, 2009... More World Tourism Trends: Hopes for Moderate Growth in 2010
World tourism could grow moderately next year after a single-digit decline of about 5% this year, leading international organizations predicted this week. The UN World Tourism Organisation has released the latest worldwide tourist arrivals figures showing a 7% decline to 600 million arrivals between January and August 2009. However,… More UNWTO: "Confidence in Tourism Sector is Gradually Picking Up" According to the latest issue of UNWTO World Tourism Barometer (Vol. 07/Issue 03) released on 10 November, 2009, the international tourism may have bottomed out due to the preliminary results through this August.… More IMF's Report Released: "Sustaining the Recovery"
After a deep global recession, economic growth has turned positive, as wide-ranging public intervention has supported demand and lowered uncertainty and systemic risk in financial markets. … More See All News Items... | |
Upcoming Conferences: December 10-13, 2011: World Research Summit for Tourism and Hospitality (WRSTH), Hong Kong, China May 22-24, 2012: International Convention and Expo Summit 2012, Hong Kong, China Submission deadline: 29 February, 2012 (Abstract), 6 April, 2012 (Full paper) Contact:
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May 22-24, 2012: The 11th Asia Pacific Forum for Graduate Students Research in Tourism, Hong Kong, China Submission deadline: 29 February, 2012 (Abstract), 6 April, 2012 (Full paper) Contact:
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